COVID-19 Fiscal Impact on California Cities California cities face severe revenue shortfalls due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on their economies and increased emergency costs. As a result, cities will be forced to make significant reductions or cuts to a broad range of core public services and staff, regardless of population size. Given current and projected revenue shortfalls, cities need fiscal assistance to stabilize local government operations to offset the devastating impacts the crisis is having on California’s communities. These findings are part of a new data analysis* by the League of California Cities. Public Services Will Be Impacted By Drastic Revenue Loss Of Cities Of Cities Of Cities Of Cities Of Cities < 25,000 25K-49,999 50K-99,999 100K-249,999 250K + 84% 90% 85% 79% 80% Cut or decrease to public services No cut or decrease to public services Core Services Face Significant Impacts Regardless of City Size Percentage of cities by population 90% 87% 82% 79% 78% 84% 90% 90% 87% 80% 80% 71% 57% 53% 50% 30% 21% 11% < 25,000 16% 18% 25K-49,999 50K-99,999 Emergency Medical Services 30% 30% 32% 30% 30% 19% 53% 55% 49% 11% Sanitation/Waste Fire Services 250K + 100K-249,999 Homeless Services Police/Public Safety Planning/Housing Cities anticipate a nearly $7 BILLION GENERAL REVENUE SHORTFALL over the next two fiscal years. This shortfall will grow by billions of dollars if COVID-19 stay-at-home orders extend into the summer months and beyond. City Leaders Report Immediate Impact to Core Revenue Sources 100% 89% 72% 42% 15% 4% COVID-19 Has Staggering Impact on City Workforce Of Cities Sales Taxes Hotel/Bed Taxes Property Transfer Taxes < 25,000 25K-49,999 50K-99,999 71% 82% 77% Utility Taxes Of Cities Investments, Forfeitures, and Fines Parking and Admissions 250K + 63% 60% Anticipate furloughs or layoffs Do not anticipate furloughs or layoffs to help control the COVID-19 pandemic 93% Disinfection of public facilities Of Cities 100K-249,999 12% of cities report spending > $500k Unanticipated COVID-19 Expenses Of Cities Of Cities Over are considering LAYOFFS 90% ofORcities EMPLOYEE FURLOUGHS, or 72% CUTTING PUBLIC SERVICES. are considering doing BOTH. 91% Purchase of personal protective equipment 85% New technology for remote operations $24 million operations 67% Emergency center/training costs Utility Taxes $65 million public safety costs 61% Increased (includes overtime) Franchises personnel costs 56% Increased (includes overtime) Purchase supplies *Percentage of cities $93 million Parking and Admissions $402 million $616 million $1.37 billion $2.26 billion $1.7 billion County Transportation SUT Sales Taxes of California cities, regardless of population size, face projected revenue loss this year $28 million Property Transfer Taxes $175 million Investments, Forfeitures, and Fines 32% for residents support to 32% Financial residents/businesses Cities Key Revenue Loss by Source through FY 21-22 Business Tax Hotel/Bed Taxes City/County of San Francisco Total $6.7 billion For more information email communications@cacities.org. *Data and Assumptions: The current revenue shortfall projections assume the ending of strict stay-at-home orders by the end of May 2020 with a transition to normalcy and a gradual return to taxable activities. The revenue shortfall projections include FY 2021-22, as there will be delayed revenue impacts from multiple sources, including business license taxes (based on prior year receipts). If strict stay-at-home orders remain in place through the summer of 2020, there will be additional significant revenue losses – adding billions to overall city shortfalls. Over 260 cities, encompassing all of California’s diverse geographies and city sizes, participated in the League’s COVID-19 Fiscal Impact Survey. The survey requested primary source data on projected revenue losses in key, general revenue categories, and local impacts to city services and operations. The survey data reinforces projections produced from an in depth financial model built from annual reports by the State Controller and the California Department of Tax and Fee Administration, survey data, granular analysis by government revenue specialists, industry specific outlooks, and forecasts from respected economists.