Aviation Pol le Aviation, Maritime, Freight Canals Victoria Quay, Edinburgh EH6 TRANSPORT SCOTLAN Your rel: Our ref: Fol/19102561 Date: to January 2020 Dear-- Thank you for your request dated 12 December 2019 under the Environmental Information (Scotland) Regulations 2004 (Ele). Your reguest You asked for: A copy of the analysis carried out by the Scottish Government of the environmental impact of the proposed third runway at Heathrow. Resgonse to your reguest I enclose a copy of all of the information you requested. Your right to reguest a review If you are unhappy with this response to your Ele request, you may ask us to carry out an internal review of the response, by writing to Roy Brannen, Chief Executive of Transport Scotland, Buchanan House, 58 Port Dundas Road, Glasgow G4 OHF or at ceo@transgort.gov.scot. Your review request should explain why you are dissatisfied with this response, and should be made within 40 working days from the date when you received this letter. We will complete the review and tell you the result, within 20 working days from the date when we receive your review request. If you are not satisfied with the result of the review, you then have the right to appeal to the Scottish Information Commissioner. More detailed information on your appeal rights is available on the Commissioner's website at: ner.asgx. 9" 3 Scottish Government gov.scot 1; Hm lmlha m- gov.scot Yours sincerely MICHAEL BRATCHER Aviation Policy $014001 atvg. . Scottish Government ?n . is Rlogholtos no h-Alba A gov.scot Emissions modelling for additional services from Scotland to Heathrow – July 2018 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 extra weekly return flights TOTAL extra annual return flights TOTAL 5,044 5,044 5,044 5,044 5,044 5,044 5,044 5,044 5,044 5,044 5,044 5,044 5,044 5,044 5,044 total extra return trips 605,000 605,000 605,000 605,000 605,000 605,000 605,000 605,000 605,000 605,000 605,000 605,000 605,000 605,000 605,000 emissions per domestic return trip 0.070 0.069 0.069 0.068 0.068 0.067 0.067 0.066 0.066 0.065 0.064 0.064 0.063 0.063 0.062 additional emissions (tonnes) 42,258 41,920 41,585 41,252 40,922 40,595 40,270 39,948 39,628 39,311 38,997 38,685 38,375 38,068 37,764 The emissions trend projected here is driven by improvements to aircraft emissions efficiency of 0.8% per year and refers to the number of passengers expected in our ask (a total of 605,000), so does not model demand growth over time. Rough modelling of projected baseline emissions suggests that the third runway expansion will result in a c. 2% increase for Scotland over current aviation emission levels.  www.transport.gov.scot  