January 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll Gonzales Poll Gonzales Maryland Poll Table of Contents Background and Methodology ............................................................................................ 3 Synopsis ............................................................................................................................... 4 Gonzales January 2020 Poll Results .................................................................................. 6 Appendix A: Data Tables .................................................................................................. 12 QUESTION 1: Number One Issue in Maryland ........................................................... 12 QUESTION 2: Trump Job Approval ........................................................................... 13 QUESTION 3: Hogan Job Approval ........................................................................... 15 QUESTION 4: Direction of State ............................................................................... 17 QUESTION 5: Recreational Marijuana ....................................................................... 19 QUESTION 6: Economic Conditions in Maryland Today ............................................ 21 QUESTION 7: Economic Conditions in Maryland Over Next Year .............................. 23 QUESTION 8: Remove President Trump From Office................................................. 25 Appendix B: Maryland Poll Sample Demographics ......................................................... 28 Region Classifications ............................................................................................. 29 2 Page Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll Background and Methodology Patrick E. Gonzales graduated magna cum laude from the University of Baltimore with a degree in political science. His career in the field of public opinion research began in the mid-1980s as an analyst with Mason-Dixon Opinion Research. During this time, Mr. Gonzales helped develop, craft and implement election surveys and exit polls for television and radio in the Baltimore-Washington D.C. metro area. Mr. Gonzales has polled and analyzed well over a thousand elections in Maryland and across the country since that time. Furthermore, he and his associates have conducted numerous market research projects, crafting message development plans and generating strategy blueprints for businesses and organizations throughout the state. Over his 35 years conducting public opinion polls, Patrick Gonzales has been widely recognized by his peers for his ability to conduct unbiased surveys, and analyze the results in an impartial, evenhanded manner. Mr. Gonzales frequently appears on radio and television in the Baltimore-D.C. region as a guest commentator. This poll was conducted by Gonzales Research & Media Services from December 23rd, 2019 through January 4th, 2020. A total of 838 registered voters in Maryland, who indicated that they are likely to vote in the 2020 general election, were queried by live telephone interviews, utilizing both landline (39%) and cell phone (61%) numbers. A cross-section of interviews was conducted throughout the state, reflecting general election voting patterns. The margin of error (MOE), per accepted statistical standards, is a range of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. If the entire population was surveyed, there is a 95% probability that the true numbers would fall within this range. 3 Page Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll Synopsis As the 2020 legislative session begins, nearly one-third of voters declare without prompting - crime to be the number one issue Maryland government should tackle. Across the state, 31% say that crime is at the top of their list, while 16% say education is the number one issue, 11% say transportation, 9% say taxes, 9% say corruption, 6% say the opioid crisis, 5% say health care, with other responses receiving less than five percent mention. Recently-impeached President Trump receives a dismal job approval rating from Marylanders. Statewide, only 37% approve of the job he’s doing as president, while 61% disapprove, with 53% strongly disapproving. Among Republicans, however, 85% approve of the job Donald Trump is doing as president. Now that the House of Representatives has voted to impeach President Trump, it goes to the Senate (or not). If articles of impeachment do arrive in the upper chamber, 50% of Marylanders support a vote of removal (43% strongly support), while 46% oppose removing Trump (43% strongly oppose). The intensity of support/opposition to removing Trump from office is glaring: 86% supporting Trump’s removal from office (43 percent of 50 percent) by the Senate passionately support his removal; within the group of voters opposed to removing Trump, 93% are fervently opposed to his removal. An estimable 75% continue to approve of the job second-term governor Larry Hogan is doing (40% “strongly approve”), while only 17% disapprove of the job he’s doing. Hogan’s numbers across the state are incredibly balanced. In this age of extreme political polarization (see 2 paragraphs previous), it is astonishing that men and women approve of Hogan in identical numbers, as do voters under 50 and those 50 and older. Further, in our 35 years of polling the voters of Maryland, we have never found a pol who was supported by 73% of Democrats, 77% of Republicans, and 78% of independents. These numbers indicate a versatile, Protean-like appeal we have not witnessed in a politician before…anywhere. Statewide, 56% say things in Maryland are moving in the right direction, while 4 Page Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll 33% say that things are off on the wrong track, and 11% provide no opinion. The constancy between voter groups on the direction the state’s moving is even more conspicuous than Hogan’s job rating. Marijuana for medical use has been in place here since Gov. Martin O’Malley signed legislation 7 years ago. Over the past several years, there has been a concerted effort in the state to legalize marijuana for recreational use. Among Marylanders, 57% support legalizing marijuana for recreational use, while 38% oppose it. The generational divide on recreational pot legalization is broad: 76% of Maryland voters under the age of 50 support the legalization of marijuana for recreational use, while 52% of voters 50 and older are opposed to legalizing recreational reefer. Marylanders are somewhat mixed about the economy – 56% of voters rate economic conditions in the state today as either excellent (10%) or pretty good (46%), but 41% rate the economy only fair or poor. Sixty-four percent of Republicans rate economic conditions excellent/good, as do 53% of Democrats, and 51% of independents. Asked about their confidence in the economy over the next year, 26% think things will improve, 13% feel things will get worse, and 55% believe economic conditions in the state will stay about the same over the next year. The most puzzling discovery from this question was that only 6% of those under the age of 40 believe the economy will improve over the next year, while 31% believe it will get worse. This cynicism among millennials is pronounced. Marylanders 40 and older are optimistic on the economy improving or getting worse by a 4-to-1 margin. Why are millennials pessimistic by a 5-to-1 margin? 5 Page Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll Gonzales January 2020 Poll Results Number One Issue In Maryland We asked Maryland voters, without prompting, “What is the number one issue Maryland government should deal with right now?” Statewide, 31% say crime is the number one issue for Maryland government to tackle, 16% say education is the number one issue, 11% say transportation, 9% say taxes, 9% say corruption, 6% say the opioid crisis, 5% say health care, with other responses receiving less than five percent mention. The top 3 issues by party: Party #1 Issue #2 Issue #3 Issue Democrat Crime 40% Education 14% Republican Crime 20% Education 18% Taxes 15% Independent Crime 19% Education 17% Corruption 17% Transportation 10% 6 Page Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll President Donald Trump Among Maryland voters, 37% approve of the job Donald Trump is doing as president (29% “strongly approve” and 8% “somewhat approve”), while 61% disapprove of the job he is doing as president (53% “strongly disapprove” and 8% “somewhat disapprove”), with 2% giving no response. The results by party, gender, age, and race: Approve Disapprove Democrat Republican Unaffiliated 14% 85% 32% 85% 14% 60% Men Women 45% 30% 53% 68% Under 50 50 and older 29% 43% 69% 56% White African-American 50% 8% 49% 90% Trump Job Rating Remove President Trump From Office Now that the House of Representatives has voted to impeach President Trump, it is supposed to go to the Senate, which will vote on removing him from office. Statewide, 50% support the Senate voting to remove Trump from office (43% “strongly support” and 7% “somewhat support”), while 46% oppose the Senate voting to remove him from office (43% “strongly oppose” and 3% “somewhat oppose”), with 4% offering no opinion. The results by party, age, and race: Support Oppose Democrat Republican Unaffiliated 71% 6% 55% 24% 94% 39% Under 50 50 and older 58% 44% 36% 53% White African-American 39% 77% 57% 18% Remove President Trump 7 Page Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll Governor Larry Hogan Among Marylanders, an impressive 75% continue to approve of the job Larry Hogan is doing as governor (40% “strongly approve” and 35% “somewhat approve”), while 17% disapprove of the job he is doing as governor (5% “strongly disapprove” and 12% “somewhat disapprove”), with 8% offering no response. The results by party, gender, age, and race: Approve Disapprove Democrat Republican Unaffiliated 73% 77% 78% 19% 14% 13% Men Women 75% 75% 16% 17% Under 50 50 and older 75% 75% 17% 16% White African-American 78% 70% 14% 21% Hogan Job Rating 8 Page Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll What is most remarkable about Governor Hogan’s imposing job rating – particularly in this age of extreme political polarization – is the striking consistency spanning all the voter demographic groups in the Free State. His approval rating varies by no more than 10 points across all the disparate subgroups. Direction of State Statewide, 56% say things in Maryland are moving in the right direction, while 33% say that things are off on the wrong, and 11% provide no opinion. The results by party, gender age, race and region: Right Direction Wrong Track Democrat Republican Unaffiliated 56% 58% 52% 33% 32% 37% Men Women 56% 56% 35% 32% Under 50 50 and older 56% 56% 33% 34% White African-American 56% 57% 33% 32% Baltimore Metro Washington Metro Rural Maryland 55% 57% 55% 34% 32% 34% Direction of State The constancy here between the voter groups is even more noticeable than Hogan’s job rating. Recreational Marijuana Statewide, 57% support legalizing marijuana for recreational use (37% “strongly support” and 20% “somewhat support”), while 38% oppose legalizing marijuana in the state for recreational use (28% “strongly oppose” and 10% “somewhat oppose”), with 5% offering no opinion. 9 Page Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll Legalize Recreational Marijuana by Region Baltimore Metro Support Oppose 59% 36% Western MD Support Oppose 49% 48% Washington Metro Support Oppose 58% 36% Eastern Shore/ Southern MD Support Oppose 54% 45% 10 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll Seventy-six percent of Marylanders under the age of 50 support legalizing marijuana for recreational use and only 21% oppose it; while 52% of voters 50 and older oppose legalizing recreational marijuana and only 42% support it The results by party, gender, and age: Support Oppose Democrat Republican Unaffiliated 66% 38% 59% 31% 56% 33% Men Women 63% 51% 33% 43% Under 50 50 and older 76% 42% 21% 52% Recreational Marijuana Economic Conditions in Maryland Fifty-six percent of voters rate economic conditions in the state today either “excellent” (10%) or “pretty good” (46%), while 41% rate economic conditions “only fair” (32%) or “poor” (9%), with 3% providing no response. By party, 64% of Republicans rate economic conditions excellent/good and 33% rate them fair/poor; 53% of Democrats rate conditions excellent/good and 44% rate them fair/poor; and 51% of unaffiliated voters rate economic conditions in the state today excellent/good and 42% rate them fair/poor. When asked about their confidence in the economy over the next year, 26% believe things will improve, 13% feel things will get worse, and 55% believe the economy will stay about the same. Only 6% of Marylanders under the age of 40 think the economy will improve over the next year and 31% believe it will get worse. Among those 40 and older, 32% think the economy will improve over the next year and only 8% believe it will get worse. Over Next Year 18 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 59 60 and older Improve Get Worse 6% 37% 27% 31% 31% 6% 7% 9% Stay The Same 61% 55% 51% 54% 11 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll Appendix A: Data Tables QUESTION 1: Number One Issue in Maryland What is the number one issue Maryland government should deal with right now? NUMBER ONE ISSUE IN MARYLAND Crime Education Transportation Taxes Corruption Opioid Crisis Health Care Economy Climate Change Immigration Abortion No answer Total Number 261 131 94 75 74 54 45 26 21 12 9 36 838 Percent 31.1 % 15.6 % 11.2 % 8.9 % 8.8 % 6.4 % 5.4 % 3.1 % 2.5 % 1.4 % 1.1 % 4.3 % 100.0 % TOP 3 ISSUES FOR DEMOCRATS Crime Education Transportation Total Number 189 66 45 470 Percent 40.2 % 14.0 % 9.6 % 100.0 % TOP 3 ISSUES FOR REPUBLICANS Crime Education Taxes Total Number 46 42 36 234 Percent 19.7 % 17.9 % 15.4 % 100.0 % TOP 3 ISSUES FOR INDEPENDENTS Crime Education Corruption Total Number 26 23 23 134 Percent 19.4 % 17.2 % 17.2 % 100.0 % 12 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll QUESTION 2: Trump Job Approval Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP Approve Disapprove No answer Total Number 309 514 15 838 Percent 36.9 % 61.3 % 1.8 % 100.0 % Number 242 67 70 444 15 838 Percent 28.9 % 8.0 % 8.4 % 53.0 % 1.8 % 100.0 % Is that strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove? JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove No answer Total N=838 JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP Approve Disapprove No answer PARTY Democrat 68 14.5% 399 84.9% 3 0.6% Republican 198 84.6% 34 14.5% 2 0.9% Unaffiliated 43 32.1% 81 60.4% 10 7.5% N=838 JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP Approve Disapprove No answer GENDER Male 171 44.8% 202 52.9% 9 2.4% Female 138 30.3% 312 68.4% 6 1.3% 13 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll N=838 JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP Approve Disapprove No answer AGE GROUP Under 50 108 29.3% 252 68.5% 8 2.2% 50 or older 201 42.8% 262 55.7% 7 1.5% N=838 JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP Approve Disapprove No answer RACE White 268 49.7% 264 49.0% 7 1.3% AfricanAmerican 19 7.8% 220 90.5% 4 1.6% Other/ Refused 22 39.3% 30 53.6% 4 7.1% N=838 JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP Approve Disapprove No answer REGION Baltimore Metro 132 36.7% 222 61.7% 6 1.7% Washington Metro 70 24.6% 209 73.3% 6 2.1% Rural Maryland 107 55.4% 83 43.0% 3 1.6% 14 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll QUESTION 3: Hogan Job Approval Do you approve or disapprove of the job Larry Hogan is doing as governor? JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN Approve Disapprove No answer Total Number 629 139 70 838 Percent 75.1 % 16.6 % 8.4 % 100.0 % Number 338 291 102 37 70 838 Percent 40.3 % 34.7 % 12.2 % 4.4 % 8.4 % 100.0 % Is that strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove? JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove No answer Total N=838 JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN Approve Disapprove No answer PARTY Democrat 344 73.2% 88 18.7% 38 8.1% Republican 181 77.4% 33 14.1% 20 8.5% Unaffiliated 104 77.6% 18 13.4% 12 9.0% N=838 JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN Approve Disapprove No answer GENDER Male 285 74.6% 63 16.5% 34 8.9% Female 344 75.4% 76 16.7% 36 7.9% 15 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll N=838 JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN Approve Disapprove No answer AGE GROUP Under 50 276 75.0% 63 17.1% 29 7.9% 50 or older 353 75.1% 76 16.2% 41 8.7% N=838 JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN Approve Disapprove No answer RACE White 419 77.7% 77 14.3% 43 8.0% AfricanAmerican 171 70.4% 52 21.4% 20 8.2% Other/ Refused 39 69.6% 10 17.9% 7 12.5% N=838 JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN Approve Disapprove No answer REGION Baltimore Metro 265 73.6% 64 17.8% 31 8.6% Washington Metro 210 73.7% 49 17.2% 26 9.1% Rural Maryland 154 79.8% 26 13.5% 13 6.7% 16 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll QUESTION 4: Direction of State Overall, would you say things in Maryland are moving in the right direction, or would you say things are off on the wrong track? DIRECTION OF STATE Right Direction Wrong Track No answer Total N=838 Number 467 279 92 838 Right Direction DIRECTION OF STATE Wrong Track No answer Democrat 262 55.7% 155 33.0% 53 11.3% Republican 136 58.1% 75 32.1% 23 9.8% Unaffiliated 69 51.5% 49 36.6% 16 11.9% Right Direction DIRECTION OF STATE Wrong Track No answer Male 214 56.0% 132 34.6% 36 9.4% Female 253 55.5% 147 32.2% 56 12.3% Right Direction DIRECTION OF STATE Wrong Track No answer Under 50 206 56.0% 120 32.6% 42 11.4% 50 or older 261 55.5% 159 33.8% 50 10.6% Percent 55.7 % 33.3 % 11.0 % 100.0 % PARTY N=838 GENDER N=838 AGE GROUP 17 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll N=838 Right Direction DIRECTION OF STATE Wrong Track No answer White 301 55.8% 178 33.0% 60 11.1% AfricanAmerican 139 57.2% 78 32.1% 26 10.7% Other/ Refused 27 48.2% 23 41.1% 6 10.7% Right Direction DIRECTION OF STATE Wrong Track No answer Baltimore Metro 197 54.7% 124 34.4% 39 10.8% Washington Metro 164 57.5% 90 31.6% 31 10.9% Rural Maryland 106 54.9% 65 33.7% 22 11.4% RACE N=838 REGION 18 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll QUESTION 5: Recreational Marijuana Do you support or oppose legalizing marijuana in Maryland for recreational use? RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA Support Oppose No answer Total Number 477 320 41 838 Percent 56.9 % 38.2 % 4.9 % 100.0 % Number 310 167 84 236 41 838 Percent 37.0 % 19.9 % 10.0 % 28.2 % 4.9 % 100.0 % Is that strongly or somewhat support/oppose? RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA Strongly Support Somewhat Support Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose No answer Total N=838 Support RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA Oppose No answer PARTY Democrat 308 65.5% 144 30.6% 18 3.8% Republican 90 38.5% 132 56.4% 12 5.1% Unaffiliated 79 59.0% 44 32.8% 11 8.2% N=838 Support RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA Oppose No answer GENDER Male 242 63.4% 124 32.5% 16 4.2% Female 235 51.5% 196 43.0% 25 5.5% 19 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll N=838 Support RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA Oppose No answer AGE GROUP Under 50 281 76.4% 76 20.7% 11 3.0% 50 or older 196 41.7% 244 51.9% 30 6.4% N=838 Support RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA Oppose No answer RACE White 302 56.0% 211 39.1% 26 4.8% AfricanAmerican 147 60.5% 85 35.0% 11 4.5% Other/ Refused 28 50.0% 24 42.9% 4 7.1% N=838 Support RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA Oppose No answer REGION Baltimore Metro 213 59.2% 129 35.8% 18 5.0% Washington Metro 165 57.9% 102 35.8% 18 6.3% Rural Maryland 99 51.3% 89 46.1% 5 2.6% N=193 Support RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA Oppose No answer Rural Maryland Eastern Shore 51 54.3% 42 44.7% 1 1.1% Western Maryland 48 48.5% 47 47.5% 4 4.0% 20 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll QUESTION 6: Economic Conditions in Maryland Today How would you rate economic conditions in Maryland today: excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor? ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN MARYLAND Excellent Good Fair Poor No answer Total Number 83 386 268 74 27 838 Percent 9.9 % 46.1 % 32.0 % 8.8 % 3.2 % 100.0 % ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN MARYLAND Excellent/Good Fair/Poor No answer Total Number 469 342 27 838 Percent 56.0 % 40.8 % 3.2 % 100.0 % N=838 ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN MARYLAND Excellent/Good Fair/Poor No answer PARTY Democrat 251 53.4% 208 44.3% 11 2.3% Republican 150 64.1% 77 32.9% 7 3.0% Unaffiliated 68 50.7% 57 42.5% 9 6.7% N=838 ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN MARYLAND Excellent/Good Fair/Poor No answer GENDER Male 218 57.1% 154 40.3% 10 2.6% Female 251 55.0% 188 41.2% 17 3.7% 21 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll N=838 ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN MARYLAND Excellent/Good Fair/Poor No answer AGE GROUP Under 50 197 53.5% 160 43.5% 11 3.0% 50 or older 272 57.9% 182 38.7% 16 3.4% N=838 ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN MARYLAND Excellent/Good Fair/Poor No answer RACE White 302 56.0% 220 40.8% 17 3.2% AfricanAmerican 139 57.2% 97 39.9% 7 2.9% Other/ Refused 28 50.0% 25 44.6% 3 5.4% N=838 ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN MARYLAND Excellent/Good Fair/Poor No answer REGION Baltimore Metro 197 54.7% 151 41.9% 12 3.3% Washington Metro 166 58.2% 107 37.5% 12 4.2% Rural Maryland 106 54.9% 84 43.5% 3 1.6% 22 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll QUESTION 7: Economic Conditions in Maryland Over Next Year Over the next year, do you think economic conditions in Maryland will improve, get worse, or stay about the same? ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN 1 YEAR Improve Get Worse Stay the Same No answer Total N=838 Improve Number 219 109 461 49 838 ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN 1 YEAR Get Worse Stay the Same Percent 26.1 % 13.0 % 55.0 % 5.8 % 100.0 % No answer PARTY Democrat 126 26.8% 61 13.0% 257 54.7% 26 5.5% Republican 58 24.8% 28 12.0% 132 56.4% 16 6.8% Unaffiliated 35 26.1% 20 14.9% 72 53.7% 7 5.2% N=838 Improve ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN 1 YEAR Get Worse Stay the Same No answer GENDER Male 102 26.7% 51 13.4% 202 52.9% 27 7.1% Female 117 25.7% 58 12.7% 259 56.8% 22 4.8% N=838 Improve ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN 1 YEAR Get Worse Stay the Same No answer AGE GROUP Under 50 79 21.5% 70 19.0% 214 58.2% 5 1.4% 50 or older 140 29.8% 39 8.3% 247 52.6% 44 9.4% 23 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll N=838 Improve ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN 1 YEAR Get Worse Stay the Same No answer AGE 18 to 39 12 6.4% 59 31.4% 115 61.2% 2 1.1% 40 to 49 67 37.2% 11 6.1% 99 55.0% 3 1.7% 50 to 59 53 27.7% 13 6.8% 97 50.8% 28 14.7% 60 and older 87 31.2% 26 9.3% 150 53.8% 16 5.7% N=838 Improve ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN 1 YEAR Get Worse Stay the Same No answer RACE White 143 26.5% 74 13.7% 295 54.7% 27 5.0% AfricanAmerican 61 25.1% 29 11.9% 138 56.8% 15 6.2% Other/ Refused 15 26.8% 6 10.7% 28 50.0% 7 12.5% N=838 Improve ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN 1 YEAR Get Worse Stay the Same No answer REGION Baltimore Metro 97 26.9% 53 14.7% 186 51.7% 24 6.7% Washington Metro 76 26.7% 34 11.9% 157 55.1% 18 6.3% Rural Maryland 46 23.8% 22 11.4% 118 61.1% 7 3.6% 24 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll QUESTION 8: Remove President Trump From Office As you may know, the House in Congress recently voted to impeach President Donald Trump. Now it goes to the Senate, which will vote on removing him from office. Do you support or oppose removing President Donald Trump from office? REMOVE PRESIDENT TRUMP FROM OFFICE Support Oppose No answer Total Number 421 382 35 838 Percent 50.2 % 45.6 % 4.2 % 100.0 % Number 362 59 21 361 35 838 Percent 43.2 % 7.0 % 2.5 % 43.1 % 4.2 % 100.0 % Is that strongly or somewhat support/oppose? REMOVE PRESIDENT TRUMP FROM OFFICE Strongly Support Somewhat Support Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose No answer Total N=838 REMOVE PRESIDENT TRUMP FROM OFFICE Support Oppose No answer PARTY Democrat 334 71.1% 111 23.6% 25 5.3% Republican 13 5.6% 219 93.6% 2 0.9% Unaffiliated 74 55.2% 52 38.8% 8 6.0% N=838 REMOVE PRESIDENT TRUMP FROM OFFICE Support Oppose No answer GENDER Male 168 44.0% 202 52.9% 12 3.1% Female 253 55.5% 180 39.5% 23 5.0% 25 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll N=838 REMOVE PRESIDENT TRUMP FROM OFFICE Support Oppose No answer AGE GROUP Under 50 215 58.4% 134 36.4% 19 5.2% 50 or older 206 43.8% 248 52.8% 16 3.4% N=838 REMOVE PRESIDENT TRUMP FROM OFFICE Support Oppose No answer RACE White 209 38.8% 310 57.5% 20 3.7% AfricanAmerican 187 77.0% 45 18.5% 11 4.5% Other/ Refused 25 44.6% 27 48.2% 4 7.1% N=838 REMOVE PRESIDENT TRUMP FROM OFFICE Support Oppose No answer REGION Baltimore Metro 176 48.9% 167 46.4% 17 4.7% Washington Metro 176 61.8% 94 33.0% 15 5.3% Rural Maryland 69 35.8% 121 62.7% 3 1.6% 26 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll Remove President Trump by Job Approval N=838 REMOVE PRESIDENT TRUMP FROM OFFICE Support Oppose No answer JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP Approve 3 1.0% 305 98.7% 1 0.3% Disapprove 409 79.6% 75 14.6% 30 5.8% No answer 9 60.0% 2 13.3% 4 26.7% 27 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll Appendix B: Maryland Poll Sample Demographics PARTY Democrat Republican Unaffiliated Total Number 470 234 134 838 Percent 56.1 % 27.9 % 16.0 % 100.0 % AGE 18 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 59 60 and older Total Number 188 180 191 279 838 Percent 22.4 % 21.5 % 22.8 % 33.3 % 100.0 % AGE GROUP Under 50 50 or older Total Number 368 470 838 Percent 43.9 % 56.1 % 100.0 % RACE White African-American Hispanic Total Number 539 243 56 838 Percent 64.3 % 29.0 % 6.7 % 100.0 % GENDER Male Female Total Number 382 456 838 Percent 45.6 % 54.4 % 100.0 % REGION Baltimore Metro Washington Metro Rural Maryland Total Number 360 285 193 838 Percent 43.0 % 34.0 % 23.0 % 100.0 % 28 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020 Gonzales Maryland Poll Region Classifications Baltimore Metro Baltimore City Anne Arundel County Baltimore County Harford County Howard County Total Washington Metro Montgomery County Prince George's County Charles County Total Rural Maryland Eastern Shore/Southern Maryland Western Maryland Total Number 72 81 117 40 50 360 Percent 20.0 % 22.5 % 32.5 % 11.1 % 13.9 % 100.0 % Number 142 119 24 285 Percent 49.8 % 41.8 % 8.4 % 100.0 % Number 94 99 193 Percent 48.7 % 51.3 % 100.0 % 29 P a g e Embargoed until 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, January 7th, 2020