Subtable 2(1): Dollar table for oil
flows

Net oil revenue**
Oil advances in
Oil advances out
Net oil after advances outflow
Net oil after both inflows and
outflows
** excluding trfs to S and C








Annual
Budget
110

Q3 year-todate
Budget
82

YTD Actual
200

Variance vs Q3
year-to-date
Budget
118

0

0

50

50

0
0

0
0

118
82

118
-1

0

0

132

49

Total as % of
Budget
182%

The Government made in-kind and direct payments to Sudan totalling SSP 28,352 million.
The was in line with expectations. However, arrears are not being paid down, and the debt is
likely to have increased substantially during the year, as the estimated payment is in dollars
and the pound has performed below projections.
In addition, very low transfers to oil producing states and communities were made in the
first three quarters of the fiscal year; just SSP19 million.
Nile Pet and Addax took $139 million in oil shipments, which was over the SSP budget by
almost SSP 10.6 billion and exceeded the annual dollar budget for Nilepet almost six times.
Addax took $53 million. Combined, the total of $123 million is 70% of the net oil revenues
GRSS received, and is enough to fund the projected 2016/17 salary arrears gap around twice
over.
Severe cashflow issues caused by advances repayments can be demonstrated by the second
last line in subtitle 2(1) which shows that net income from oil after financing collapsed in the
third quarter, to $22m. Without new advances, just $11 million was received by GRSS in the
third quarter from oil revenues. In Q3, Nilepet and Addax took $66 million.

Non-oil revenues
 Total non-oil revenue collections were SSP 7,258 million, which was SSP 316 million above
budget. In dollar terms, non-oil revenues were stable at around $8 million per month in the
third quarter. Every line except PIT underperformed. However, over SSP 1.4 billion was not
identified.
 The reasons for the difference in remittances and collections requires further investigation,
but may be due to delays in sweeping the commercial bank accounts or issues in recording
collections.
 Of these non-oil revenues, Customs retained and directly spent SSP 361 million in the year to
date. This expenditure is recorded as operating expenditure for the purpose of budget
execution reporting. In addition, civil aviation and other agencies unidentifiable agencies
retained and spent SSP 469 million year to date. This direct expenditure, which bypasses the
budget execution process, is equivalent to around 20 days of central government salaries.
 There are early signs that non-oil revenues are increasing in the fourth quarter. Revenue
raising measures in the Financial and Appropriation Acts are being implemented and rental
income tax is high – the chart below shows the revenue uptick in April. It should be noted
that budget forecasts assumed these new measures would be in place from July.
 The chart below shows that in dollar terms, non-oil revenue collection is stable but has not
recovered since the beginning of the year July 2015.

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